Rear View Mirror Says Employment Is Fine; Just Don’t Look Ahead!

April 16, 2026 00:09:40
Rear View Mirror Says Employment Is Fine; Just Don’t Look Ahead!
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Rear View Mirror Says Employment Is Fine; Just Don’t Look Ahead!

Apr 16 2026 | 00:09:40

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Show Notes

We are in a phony war at the moment, as the real effects of the Gulf War, and the spike in fuel prices are yet to hit the rear-facing data as reported by the ABS and others. The forward-looking confidence data has crashed of course, with consumer sentiment down as reported by the MI and Westpac survey, 12.5% to 80.1 points in April as near-term expectations dropped back to 2022–23 lows that were last seen during the post-Covid “cost of living” crisis. And Australia’s inflation remains too high and interest rates will need to be set at a level consistent […]

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