We ran out live stream event last night. During the session we discussed our revised scenarios, taking account of the complex local and international backdrop.
Using a baseline of July 2018, and looking ahead this is how it plays out. The risks from an international crisis have risen, the RBA itself is now projecting higher unemployment so lower wages growth, and the iron ore price is falling. Business and consumer confidence is being eroded, and the fall-out from the high-rise construction fiasco are only just starting to play out.
There is a path to property values rising, but we think this is relatively short lived.
Data from CoreLogic shows the “dead cat bounce” in New Zealand home prices, driven by the higher for longer interest rates, and significant pressure...
I discuss the GDP question with American in OZ Salvatore Babones, Associate Professor, University of Sydney. Share this:EmailPrintTwitterFacebookLinkedInReddit
This is the edited high quality edition of our live show. Original edition with live chat here: https://youtu.be/CY4E7PPuKdo