We ran out live stream event last night. During the session we discussed our revised scenarios, taking account of the complex local and international backdrop.
Using a baseline of July 2018, and looking ahead this is how it plays out. The risks from an international crisis have risen, the RBA itself is now projecting higher unemployment so lower wages growth, and the iron ore price is falling. Business and consumer confidence is being eroded, and the fall-out from the high-rise construction fiasco are only just starting to play out.
There is a path to property values rising, but we think this is relatively short lived.
Leith van Onselen writes for MacroBusiness as the Unconventional Economist. Leith has previously worked as an economist at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and...
The latest edition of our weekly finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour. Contents: 00:25 Introduction 00:45 Trade Deals 03:00 Impeachment...
The latest edition of our weekly finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour. What I said to Treasury: Share this:EmailPrintTwitterFacebookLinkedInReddit