We ran out live stream event last night. During the session we discussed our revised scenarios, taking account of the complex local and international backdrop.
Using a baseline of July 2018, and looking ahead this is how it plays out. The risks from an international crisis have risen, the RBA itself is now projecting higher unemployment so lower wages growth, and the iron ore price is falling. Business and consumer confidence is being eroded, and the fall-out from the high-rise construction fiasco are only just starting to play out.
There is a path to property values rising, but we think this is relatively short lived.
The ABS data today was a bit of a shock, compared with expectations, as the data indicated a slowing of the employment market. Some...
Today we walk through the latest and troubling results from our surveys and analysis. Unfortunately, we see a further rise in cash flow stress...
This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and...